Linear equations can be a simple way to predict how a population will grow. However, they have some big problems that can make their predictions really off.
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What We Assume:
- When we look at population growth, we often treat it as if it grows at a steady rate. This is shown with the formula P(t)=P0+rt.
- In this formula, P0 is the starting population, r is the growth rate, and t is the time.
- This idea assumes there are unlimited resources and doesn’t take into account things like environmental changes, diseases, or economic issues.
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The Real World Is Messy:
- Many factors that affect population growth are not straightforward. Because of this, it can be hard to predict actual growth accurately.
- Events like pandemics or changes in government policies can completely change the effectiveness of these simple equations over time.
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Better Ways to Predict:
- Using more complicated models, like logistic growth equations, can help us get better predictions.
- Staying flexible and updating our models with current information can improve predictions and solve some of the problems with linear equations.